Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Jacobo Ramón 23' goal
  • Maxence Caqueret 76' yellowcard
  • Kaiki 83' goal
  • goal David Romero 90'+2'

Como vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Genoa 1 - 4 Como
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Martin Baturina

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Parma 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Simone Lontani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.35% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Como 68.91% ▲ (+3.82)
Draw 20.35% ▼ (-1.83)
Parma 10.69% ▼ (-2.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.07% ▼ (-1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 26.56% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 49.48% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 2.5 50.52% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 3.5 28.36% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 3.5 71.6% ▼ (-1.38)
Over 4.5 19.07% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 4.5 80.93% ▼ (-1.73)

First Half Winner

Como 53.97% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 36.7% ▲ (+0.86)
Parma 9.34% ▼ (-1.39)

Team To Score First

Como 76.03% ▲ (+4.94)
No Goal 7.59% ▼ (-0.59)
Parma 16.38% ▼ (-4.36)

Corners

Over 8 47.77% ▲ (+1.29)
Equal 8 11.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 40.96% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 9 37.14% ▲ (+1.30)
Equal 9 10.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 52.23% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 10.5 27.86% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 10.5 72.14% ▼ (-1.22)

Como Goals

Over 1.5 58.54% ▲ (+2.82)
Under 1.5 41.46% ▼ (-2.82)
Over 2.5 32.85% ▲ (+3.09)
Under 2.5 67.15% ▼ (-3.08)
Over 3.5 15.91% ▲ (+2.30)
Under 3.5 84.09% ▼ (-2.29)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 39.91% ▼ (-3.85)
Under 0.5 60.09% ▲ (+3.85)
Over 1.5 11.54% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 1.5 88.46% ▲ (+2.21)
Over 2.5 2.45% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 97.55% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 3.5 0.46% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 99.54% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

Como 68.91%
Draw 20.35%
Parma 10.69%
Como
1-0 @ 14.46% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 13.24% ▲ (+0.75)
3-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.97)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 15.8% ▲ (+2.41)
Total : 68.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.61)
0-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.59)
2-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.35)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 20.35%
Parma
0-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.59)
1-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.57)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 10.69%

Head to Head

Serie A
May 17, 2026 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Jesús Rodríguez 53' yellowcard
  • Alberto Moreno 58' goal
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Smolcic 71' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 82' yellowcard
  • Sergi Roberto 82' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Morata 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nesta Elphege 59'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sørensen 70'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 70'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estévez 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sørensen 71'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 71'
  • yellowcard Daniel Mikolajewski 85'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 25, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Antoine Hainaut 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc-Oliver Kempf 12'
  • goal Gabriel Espeto 79'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Nico Paz 45' goal
  • Sergi Roberto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ange-Yoan Bonny 20'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 31'
  • yellowcard Valentin Mihaila 67'
Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Simone Verdi 24' goal
  • Lucas Da Cunha 40' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Goldaniga 87' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 3'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estevez 89'
  • yellowcard Hernani 90'
Serie B Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Dennis Man 8' goal
  • Adrian Bernabe 50' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Charpentier 74' goal
  • Alessandro Circati 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Abildgaard 7'
  • yellowcard Marco Curto 20'
  • goal Federico Barba 90'+2'