World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Miami Stadium
  • Gustavo Puerta 86' yellowcard

Colombia vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 24, 2026 3.00am
Colombia 1 - 0 Congo DR

Portugal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 6.00pm
Portugal 5 - 0 Uzbekistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Colombia win was 2-1 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Colombia 28% (-0.45)
Draw 23.1% (-0.10)
Portugal 48.9% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.6% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 59.85% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.15% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 37.65% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 62.35% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.88% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.12% (-0.07)

Colombia Goals

Over 1.5 33.87% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 66.13% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 13.41% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 86.59% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 4.41% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.59% (+0.08)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 79.95% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 20.05% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 51.5% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 48.5% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 25.98% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 74.02% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 10.73% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 89.27% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Colombia 28.01%
Draw 23.1%
Portugal 48.89%
Colombia
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.13% (-0.09)
Total : 28.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Portugal
1-2 @ 9.39% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.15% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.28% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.62% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.68%
Other @ 10.45% (+0.17)
Total : 48.89%

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