Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.