Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.
