Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
