Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
2 - 1
Stoke

Janelt (56'), Toney (79')
Dasilva (18')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brown (1')
Thompson (25'), Norrington-Davies (35'), Allen (68')

Reaction

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on February 10, 2021

Brentford manager Thomas Frank heaps praise on 25-goal Ivan Toney

The Bees have bounced back from losing three games in a row to record successive victories this week.

Feb 27, 18:40

The Match

Match Report

Toney's 25th goal of the season completed the turnaround.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Brentford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Stoke City
57.57%	23.5%	18.93%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99%

73.01%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92%

48.07%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79%

41.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25%

77.74%

Score Analysis

Brentford 57.56%

Stoke City 18.93%

Draw 23.5%

Brentford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.56%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.93%

How you voted: Brentford vs Stoke

Brentford

87.3%

Draw

9.9%

Stoke City

2.8%