World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 21, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
  • Jordi Liongola 55' yellowcard
  • Frederic Nsabiyumva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Evann Guessand 16'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Agbadou 54'
  • yellowcard Yahia Fofana 90'+4'

Burundi vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 8.00pm
Seychelles 1 - 3 Burundi

Ivory Coast

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 2.00pm
Kenya 0 - 0 Ivory Coast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result

Burundi 13.79% (-0.15)
Draw 23.38% (-0.17)
Ivory Coast 62.83% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.9% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.58% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 58.42% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 20.98% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 79.02% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 8.9% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 91.09% (-0.14)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 47.61% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 52.39% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 13.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 86.26% (+0.04)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 81.7% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 18.3% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 50.62% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 49.38% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Burundi 13.79%
Draw 23.37%
Ivory Coast 62.82%
Burundi
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 13.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.37%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 16.28% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 13.82% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 7.83% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 3.32% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.15% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 62.82%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2022 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Al Salam Stadium
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 10' goal
  • Max Gradel 45'+1' goal
  • Ibrahim Sangare 58' goal
  • Nicolas Pepe 63' goal