Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.