World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

Burundi
0 - 1
Ivory Coast

Liongola (55'), Nsabiyumva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guessand (16')
Agbadou (54'), Fofana (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burundi and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 2-0 Burundi
Tuesday, November 19 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Chad
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Ivory Coast
13.79% ( -0.15)	23.38% ( -0.16)	62.83% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 38.9% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58% (

0.29)

58.42% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

0.22)

79.02% (

-0.23)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.61% (

-0.05)

52.39% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74% (

-0.04)

86.26% (

0.03)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

0.22)

18.3% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

0.37)

49.38% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Burundi 13.79%

Ivory Coast 62.82%

Draw 23.37%

Burundi	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 13.79%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 16.28% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 13.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.82%