Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.