Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 24, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Burkina Faso
2 - 1
Eq Guinea

Minoungou (90+5'), Tapsoba (90+8')
Ouedraogo (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Anieboh (85')
Ndong (49'), Salvador (67'), (68')
Ndong (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Algeria vs. Burkina Faso
Sunday, December 28 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Sudan
Sunday, December 28 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.47% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
49.02% ( -1.62)	27.47% ( 0.53)	23.51% ( 1.09)

Both teams to score 43.51% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.18% (

-0.91)

60.82% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.14% (

-0.69)

80.86% (

0.69)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-1.15)

25% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-1.63)

59.66% (

1.62)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02% (

0.56)

41.98% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

0.48)

78.42% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 49%

Equatorial Guinea 23.51%

Draw 27.46%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.15% Total : 49%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.51%