Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw has a probability of 24.57% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.32%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 51.2% (+0.25)
Draw 24.57% (-0.15)
Mirassol 24.23% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 25.61% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.97% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.03% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.72% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.28% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 15.37% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 84.63% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 36.93% (+0.08)
Draw 43.64% (-0.04)
Mirassol 19.42% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 58.05% (+0.26)
No Goal 6.77% (-0.07)
Mirassol 35.18% (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 65.06% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.13% (+0.03)
Under 8 23.81% (+0.09)
Over 9 52.98% (-0.12)
Equal 9 12.09% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.94% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 41.06% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 58.94% (+0.10)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 47.34% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 52.66% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 21.2% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 78.8% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 7.49% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 92.51% (-0.11)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 39.46% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 26.01% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 73.99% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 8.28% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 91.72% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.16% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.84% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 51.2%
Draw 24.57%
Mirassol 24.22%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.32% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.21% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.56% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.44% (+0.13)
Total : 51.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 24.57%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Jan 29, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Carlos Cuesta 32' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 54' goal
  • Eduardo 54' goal
  • Nathan Fogaça 62' yellowcard
  • Nathan 63' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 63' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaca 63' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 69' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 69' yellowcard
  • José Aldo 69' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 70' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 85' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otávio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 21'
  • yellowcard Andrey Fernandes de Oliveira Nunes 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Franca 68'
  • yellowcard Andrey Fernandes 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus França 68'
  • yellowcard João Vitor Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Souza da Silva 80'
  • yellowcard GB 80'
Brasileiro
Dec 2, 2025 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Cuesta 38' yellowcard
  • Carlos Cuesta 39' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Carvalho da Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Orlando Goncalves Dias Neto 58'
  • yellowcard Neto Moura 59'
  • goal Renato Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ramon 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Carvalho da Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Renato Marques 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 2, 2025 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT