Brasileiro Gameweek 18
May 30, 2026 8.00pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
Remo 1 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw has a probability of 26.23% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (7.66%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 52.99% (+2.04)
Draw 26.23% (-0.65)
Mirassol 20.74% (-1.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.04% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.15% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 30.85% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 42.63% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 57.37% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 21.97% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 78.03% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 39.47% (+1.25)
Draw 43.45% (-0.51)
Mirassol 17.09% (-0.72)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 58.71% (+1.97)
No Goal 8.72% (-0.28)
Mirassol 32.57% (-1.68)

Corners

Over 8 63.49% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.17% (-0.06)
Under 8 25.34% (+0.18)
Over 9 51.54% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.95% (-0.08)
Under 9 36.51% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 39.9% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.1% (-0.04)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 44.62% (+1.58)
Under 1.5 55.38% (-1.58)
Over 2.5 19.03% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 80.97% (-1.21)
Over 3.5 6.67% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 93.33% (-0.61)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 54.66% (-1.48)
Under 0.5 45.34% (+1.48)
Over 1.5 20% (-1.22)
Under 1.5 80% (+1.22)
Over 2.5 5.44% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 94.56% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 1.23% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.77% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 52.98%
Draw 26.23%
Mirassol 20.74%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.42% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 10.57% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.58% (+0.57)
Total : 52.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.04)
Total : 26.23%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.14% (-0.12)
Total : 20.74%