Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.