Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.15% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.