Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 31.02% and a draw has a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 0-1 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.09%).

Result

Mirassol 41.47% (+0.25)
Draw 27.51% (-0.10)
Fluminense 31.02% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.75% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 29.25% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 45.12% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 54.88% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 23.18% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 76.82% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 12.03% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 87.97% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 34.83% (+0.20)
Draw 44.95% (-0.12)
Fluminense 20.22% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 56.2% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.55% (-0.09)
Fluminense 35.25% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.31% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 29.08% (-0.38)
Over 9 47.33% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.06)
Under 9 40.69% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 36.04% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 63.96% (-0.25)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 37.61% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 62.39% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 14.23% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.77% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.32% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.68% (-0.09)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 64.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.11% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.99% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.6% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 41.47%
Draw 27.52%
Fluminense 31.02%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.12% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.23% (+0.09)
Total : 41.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.52%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.02%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Oct 9, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT