Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.