Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Denilson 36' goal
  • Chico Kim 57' yellowcard
  • Chico Kim 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaça 71' yellowcard
  • Eduardo  71' yellowcard
  • Victor Luís 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas Oliveira 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Germán Cano  60'
  • yellowcard Hércules 60'
  • yellowcard Riquelme 68'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 76'
  • yellowcard Wesley Natã 76'

Mirassol vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 41.54% (+0.08)
Draw 27.48% (-0.04)
Fluminense 30.95% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.52% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.22% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.19% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.24% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.76% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 12.06% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.94% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 34.83%
Draw 44.95%
Fluminense 20.22%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 56.22% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.52% (-0.04)
Fluminense 35.26% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.31%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 29.08%
Over 9 47.33%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 40.69%
Over 10.5 36.04%
Under 10.5 63.96%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 37.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.32% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.34% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.66% (-0.03)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 64.85% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.15% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 70.01% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.62% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.14% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 41.53%
Draw 27.48%
Fluminense 30.96%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.03)
Total : 41.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 27.48%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Oct 9, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT