Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 1 - 1 Bolivar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw has a probability of 23.21% and a win for Bolivar has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Bolivar win it is 0-1 (6.09%).

Result

Fluminense 54.19% (+0.06)
Draw 23.21% (+0.41)
Bolivar 22.6% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.01% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.57% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 24.43% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 51.67% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 48.33% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 28.77% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 71.23% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 17.37% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 82.63% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 35.58% (+0.49)
Draw 40.65% (-0.58)
Bolivar 23.76% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 57.42% (+0.78)
No Goal 6.79% (+0.17)
Bolivar 35.79% (-0.93)

Corners

Over 8 50.4% (-1.47)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.13)
Under 8 37.73% (+1.35)
Over 9 38.99% (-1.45)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.6% (+1.47)
Over 10.5 28.88% (-1.34)
Under 10.5 71.12% (+1.33)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 49.7% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 50.3% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 24.26% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 75.74% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 9.72% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 90.28% (+0.21)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 56.34% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 43.66% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 24.55% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 75.45% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 8.45% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.55% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.56% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.44% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Fluminense 54.18%
Draw 23.21%
Bolivar 22.6%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.54% (+0.32)
2-0 @ 9.76% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.93% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.19)
Other @ 9.63% (-0.26)
Total : 54.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.06)
Total : 23.21%
Bolivar
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.16% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.47% (-0.12)
Total : 22.6%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Robson Matheus 6' goal
  • Pato Rodríguez 57' yellowcard
  • Robson Matheus 61' goal
  • Erwin Saavedra 72' yellowcard
  • Jhon Velásquez 72' yellowcard
  • Ervin Vaca 79' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 59'
  • yellowcard Alisson 59'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 59'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 79'
  • yellowcard 79'