Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Rivadavia 4 - 1 Deportivo

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Bolivar 2 - 0 Fluminense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Bolivar has a probability of 36.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bolivar win is 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Deportivo La Guaira 38.87% (+0.01)
Draw 24.73% (+0.02)
Bolivar 36.43% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.94% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.16% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.88% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.09% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.25% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.26% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.74% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Deportivo La Guaira 26.46%
Draw 43.17% (-0.01)
Bolivar 30.37% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Deportivo La Guaira 50.33%
No Goal 7.1% (+0.02)
Bolivar 42.57% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 43.88% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.43% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.69% (-0.03)
Over 9 32.55% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 56.12% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 23.06% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 76.94% (-0.02)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 1.5 38.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.25% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.69% (+0.02)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 68.72% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.28% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.04%
Under 1.5 63.96%
Over 2.5 14.88% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.95%
Under 3.5 95.05%

Score analysis

Deportivo La Guaira 38.87%
Draw 24.74%
Bolivar 36.44%
Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.28% (-0.02)
Total : 38.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.1% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.74%
Bolivar
0-1 @ 8.79% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 5.65% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Jhon Velásquez 61' yellowcard
  • Jhon García 75' yellowcard
  • Dorny Romero 79' goal
  • Luis Paz 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Flabian Londoño 29'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 53'
  • yellowcard Martín Gianoli 72'
  • yellowcard Manuel Sulbarán 72'
  • yellowcard Cesar Da Silva 85'
  • yellowcard Franco David Cáceres 85'