Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.