Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.19% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.