Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 30, 2026 8.00pm
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 30, 2026 9.30pm
Gremio 1 - 3 Corinthians
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw has a probability of 28.36% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.44%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (8.73%).

Result

Mirassol 45.95%
Draw 28.36%
Gremio 25.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.56% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.44% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.52%
Under 2.5 57.48%
Over 3.5 21.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.08% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.92% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 36.32%
Draw 45.23%
Gremio 18.45%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 56.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.58% (-0.01)
Gremio 34.08%

Corners

Over 8 59.2%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 28.76%
Over 9 46.74%
Equal 9 12.46%
Under 9 40.8%
Over 10.5 35.02%
Under 10.5 64.98%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 39.6%
Under 1.5 60.4%
Over 2.5 15.81%
Under 2.5 84.19%
Over 3.5 5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 59.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.51% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.49% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.5%
Under 2.5 92.5%
Over 3.5 1.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.2% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mirassol 45.95%
Draw 28.36%
Gremio 25.69%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.88% (+0.01)
Total : 45.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.36%
Gremio
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Total : 25.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Daniel Borges 3' goal
  • Reinaldo 21' goal
  • Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino 64' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 78' goal
  • Daniel Borges 85' goal
  • Daniel Borges 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 15'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 18'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 60'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 67'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 82'