Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Mirassol
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Gremio
  • Bruno Santos 16' goal
  • Denilson 38' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca 40' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  41'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 65'
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 77'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 79'

Mirassol vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 30, 2026 8.00pm
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 30, 2026 9.30pm
Gremio 1 - 3 Corinthians
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.36% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.44%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 45.95%
Draw 28.36%
Gremio 25.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 42.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.33% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 78.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 11.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 88.98% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 36.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 45.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Gremio 18.51% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 56.32% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Gremio 34.08%

Corners

Over 8 59.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 28.93% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 46.6% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 40.96% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 10.5 34.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 65.08% ▲ (+0.10)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 39.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 59.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 40.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 24.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 7.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Mirassol 45.95%
Draw 28.36%
Gremio 25.67%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 45.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.36%
Gremio
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Gremio
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Mirassol
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Mirassol
Apr 16, 2025 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
Gremio
  • Daniel Borges 3' goal
  • Reinaldo 21' goal
  • Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino 64' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 78' goal
  • Daniel Borges 85' goal
  • Daniel Borges 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 15'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 18'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 60'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 67'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 82'

Form Data

Athletico PR 1 - 0 Mirassol
Lanus 1 - 0 Mirassol
Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense
Always Ready 1 - 2 Mirassol
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Mirassol 2 - 1 Bragantino
Gremio 1 - 3 Corinthians
Gremio 2 - 2 Torque
Gremio 3 - 2 Santos
Gremio 2 - 0 Palestino
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Confianca 0 - 3 Gremio