Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Santos
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.71% and a win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it is 0-1 (8.41%).

Result

Gremio 48.23% (+0.79)
Draw 26.71% (+0.04)
Sao Paulo 25.06% (-0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.19% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 29.43% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 45.08% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 54.92% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 23.34% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 76.66% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 12.32% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 87.68% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Gremio 36.21% (+0.78)
Draw 44.46% (-0.45)
Sao Paulo 19.33% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Gremio 59.99% (+2.07)
No Goal 8.62% (+0.14)
Sao Paulo 31.39% (-2.21)

Corners

Over 8 60.7% (+1.38)
Equal 8 11.19% (-0.09)
Under 8 28.11% (-1.29)
Over 9 49.06% (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.05)
Under 9 39.3% (-1.38)
Over 10.5 37.95% (+1.17)
Under 10.5 62.05% (-1.17)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 42.7% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 57.3% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 17.76% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 82.24% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.92% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.08% (-0.13)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 59.89% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 40.11% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 24.37% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 75.63% (+1.15)
Over 2.5 7.38% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 92.62% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 1.75% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 98.25% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Gremio 48.23%
Draw 26.72%
Sao Paulo 25.05%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.4% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.91% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.91% (+0.21)
Total : 48.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.62% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 26.72%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 8.41% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.74% (-0.16)
Total : 25.05%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 24' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 32' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' goal
  • Luciano 64' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 70' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 71' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • Ferreirinha 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 52'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 53'
  • yellowcard Andre Henrique 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 68'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 68'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 68'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 68'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 69'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 1, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 36' goal
  • Ruan 45'+2' goal
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Gustavo 64'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Michel Araujo 21' goal
  • Pablo Maia 43' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 68' goal
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 21'
  • yellowcard Josue 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 89'