Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Gremio
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Grêmio
Sao Paulo
  • Wallace 48' goal
  • Mathías Villasanti  45'+5' yellowcard
  • Diego Caito 81' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavón 86' goal
  • Marlon  90'+1' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann  90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Antônio 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano 75'
  • yellowcard André Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+5'

Gremio vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Santos
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 48.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 26.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Sao Paulo 24.75% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 29.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 44.8% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 55.2% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 23.22%
Under 3.5 76.78%
Over 4.5 12.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.72% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gremio 37.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 43.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Sao Paulo 19.21% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Gremio 59.95% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Sao Paulo 31.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 28.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 48.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 39.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 37.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 62.48% ▲ (+0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 42.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 57.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 17.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.93%
Under 3.5 94.07%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 59.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 7.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.62% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.77%
Under 3.5 98.23%

Score analysis

Gremio 48.55%
Draw 26.7%
Sao Paulo 24.75%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.88%
Total : 48.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.7%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.75%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Sao Paulo
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio
  • Lucas Moura 24' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 32' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' goal
  • Luciano 64' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 70' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 71' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • Ferreirinha 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 52'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 53'
  • yellowcard Andre Henrique 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 68'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 68'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 68'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 68'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 69'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
Brasileiro
Gremio
Oct 16, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Sao Paulo
May 18, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Gremio
Dec 1, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Sao Paulo
  • Franco Cristaldo 36' goal
  • Ruan 45'+2' goal
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Gustavo 64'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
Jul 18, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sao Paulo
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio
  • Michel Araujo 21' goal
  • Pablo Maia 43' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 68' goal
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 21'
  • yellowcard Josue 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 89'

Form Data

Gremio 1 - 0 Mirassol
Mirassol 1 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 0 - 1 Bolivar
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 1 Fluminense
Bolivar 3 - 2 Gremio
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Santos
Flamengo 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Athletico PR
Remo 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Boston River
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo

Build-up

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