Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Gremio
Jul 26, 2026 10.30pm
Arena do Grêmio
Fluminense

Gremio vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
Fluminense 1 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

Gremio 44.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 27.24%
Fluminense 28.53% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 45.75%
Under 2.5 54.25%
Over 3.5 23.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 76.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.87% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Gremio 31.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 45.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Fluminense 23.25% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Gremio 51.65%
No Goal 8.46%
Fluminense 39.89%

Corners

Over 8 55.48% ▲ (+0.26)
Equal 8 12.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 32.44% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 9 43.38% ▲ (+0.23)
Equal 9 12.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 44.52% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 10.5 32.3% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 67.7% ▼ (-0.16)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 40.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 62.94% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 37.06% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 27.93% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 72.07% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gremio 44.28%
Draw 27.23%
Fluminense 28.53%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 44.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.23%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 28.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Fluminense
Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Gremio
  • Nonato 46' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 59' goal
  • Facundo Bernal 78' yellowcard
  • Ganso 78' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 79' yellowcard
  • Santiago Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 90' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 60'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 61'
  • yellowcard Willian 61'
  • yellowcard Willian 62'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 74'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 74'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 75'
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 75'
  • yellowcard Andre Henrique 86'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 86'
Brasileiro
Gremio
Dec 3, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Fluminense
  • Andre Henrique 54' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 58' yellowcard
  • Arthur 61' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Martins 78' yellowcard
  • goal Yeferson Soteldo 19'
  • goal Yeferson Soteldo 52'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Fluminense
Aug 3, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Fluminense
Nov 2, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Jhon Arias 43' goal
  • Jhon Arias 43' goal
  • Martinelli 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 66' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 66' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 78' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 78' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Fabio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Fabio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+10' redcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 26'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 26'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 31'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 31'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 32'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 32'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 36'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 36'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 88'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 88'
  • goal Reinaldo 90'+9'
  • goal Reinaldo 90'+9'
Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
Aug 20, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Thiago Silva 14' goal
  • Jhon Arias 28' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 31' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 33' yellowcard
  • Guga 69' yellowcard
  • Ganso 73' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 27'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 30'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 72'
  • goal Gustavo Nunes 76'
  • yellowcard Ganso 84'
Copa Libertadores
Gremio
Aug 13, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
Fluminense
  • Agustin Marchesin 68' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 72' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 74' goal
  • Reinaldo 77' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 84' redcard
  • goal Vinicius Lima 58'
  • yellowcard Ganso 68'
  • yellowcard Thiago 72'
  • yellowcard Esquerdinha 76'

Form Data

Bolivar 3 - 2 Gremio
Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 3 Corinthians
Gremio 2 - 2 Torque
Gremio 3 - 2 Santos
Gremio 2 - 0 Palestino
Fluminense 1 - 1 Bragantino
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Fluminense
Fluminense 3 - 1 Deportivo
Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bolivar
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo