Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 28, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Jefferson Savarino 10' yellowcard
  • Hércules 28' goal
  • Nonato  46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Canobbio 66' goal
  • Facundo Bernal  78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 83' yellowcard
  • Germán Cano  90'+1' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Flabian Londoño 12'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 58'
  • yellowcard Juan Perdomo 58'
  • yellowcard Manuel Sulbarán 58'
  • yellowcard Anthony Uribe 74'
  • yellowcard Nelson Hernández 84'

Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bolivar

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 2 - 4 Independiente Rivadavia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.56% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 61.01% (-0.25)
Draw 23.56% (+0.15)
Deportivo La Guaira 15.43% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.79% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.59% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 28.41% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 46.35% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 53.65% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 24% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 75.99% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 14.37% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 85.63% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 40.18% (-0.08)
Draw 43.58% (+0.15)
Deportivo La Guaira 16.24% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 63.62% (-0.18)
No Goal 8.36% (+0.10)
Deportivo La Guaira 28.02% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.49% (-0.16)
Equal 8 12.61% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.9% (+0.16)
Over 9 37.51% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.98% (-0.03)
Under 9 50.51% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 27.09% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 72.9% (+0.10)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 51.67% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 48.33% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 25.15% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 74.85% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 9.85% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.15% (+0.17)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5 48.09% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 51.91% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 16.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.01%
Under 2.5 95.99%
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 61.02%
Draw 23.55%
Deportivo La Guaira 15.43%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 14.38% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 12.28% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.1% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.79% (-0.17)
Total : 61.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.36% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.55%
Deportivo La Guaira
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.94% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.65% (+0.02)
Total : 15.43%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Carlos Faya 46' yellowcard
  • Yackson Rivas 52' yellowcard
  • Junior José Paredes Jaspe 73' yellowcard
  • Alexis Rodríguez 74' yellowcard
  • Nelson Hernández 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Castillo 66'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 66'
  • yellowcard Germán Cano  87'
  • yellowcard Ganso 87'