Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 28, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bolivar

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 2 - 4 Independiente Rivadavia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw has a probability of 23.53% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira has a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it is 0-1 (5.61%).

Result

Fluminense 61.07% (-0.18)
Draw 23.53% (+0.11)
Deportivo La Guaira 15.4% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.88% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.12% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.26% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.85% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.49% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.51% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 40.12% (+0.06)
Draw 43.62% (-0.04)
Deportivo La Guaira 16.26% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 63.78% (-0.12)
No Goal 8.29% (+0.03)
Deportivo La Guaira 27.93% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 49.58% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.61% (+0.06)
Under 8 37.82% (-0.16)
Over 9 37.59% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.08)
Under 9 50.42% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 27.16% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.83% (+0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 51.94% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 48.06% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 25.38% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 74.62% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.03% (+0.04)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5 48.14% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 51.86% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 16.37% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 83.63% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 4.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.95% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 61.07%
Draw 23.52%
Deportivo La Guaira 15.4%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.9% (-0.04)
Total : 61.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 23.52%
Deportivo La Guaira
0-1 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.61% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.4%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Carlos Faya 46' yellowcard
  • Yackson Rivas 52' yellowcard
  • Junior José Paredes Jaspe 73' yellowcard
  • Alexis Rodríguez 74' yellowcard
  • Nelson Hernández 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Castillo 66'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 66'
  • yellowcard Germán Cano  87'
  • yellowcard Ganso 87'