Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.53%) and 1-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (12.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.06%).