Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 1 - 1 Bolivar

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira has a probability of 31.47% and a draw has a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.53%) and 1-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win is 1-0 (12.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (15.06%).

Result

Deportivo La Guaira 31.47% (+0.36)
Draw 31.2% (-0.25)
Independiente Rivadavia 37.32% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.84% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 58.17% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 41.83% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 32.06% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 67.94% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 13.86% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.14% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 6.51% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 93.49% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Deportivo La Guaira 26.45% (+0.04)
Draw 50.7% (+0.13)
Independiente Rivadavia 22.85% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Deportivo La Guaira 48.07% (+0.03)
No Goal 15.06% (-0.05)
Independiente Rivadavia 36.87% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.78% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.53% (+0.02)
Under 8 40.7% (+0.03)
Over 9 35.07% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.03)
Under 9 53.22% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 25.04% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 74.96% (+0.06)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 1.5 23.18% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 76.82% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 7.25% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 92.75% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.10)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 37.22% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 27.4% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 72.6% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 8.99% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 91.01% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.68% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Deportivo La Guaira 31.47%
Draw 31.21%
Independiente Rivadavia 37.33%
Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-1 @ 6.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.1% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.06% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.05% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.85% (+0.10)
Total : 31.47%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.06% (-0.05)
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.21%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 14.18% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Total : 37.33%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Álex Arce  27' goal
  • Sebastián Villa 45' yellowcard
  • Álex Arce  45'+2' goal
  • Álex Arce  64' goal
  • Juan Elordi 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Atencio 76' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 82' yellowcard
  • Victorio Ramis 82' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 87' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo Ortiz 32'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rodríguez 53'
  • yellowcard Juan Castellanos 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 54'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rodríguez 54'
  • yellowcard Yackson Rivas 79'
  • yellowcard Cesar Da Silva 79'