Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.74% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%) , while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.