Copa Sudamericana
Jul 23, 2026 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Martín Cauteruccio 2' goal
  • Robson Matheus 18' goal
  • Dairon Asprilla 58' goal
  • goal Mathías Villasanti  16'
  • goal Tetê 23'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 54'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 72'

Bolivar vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions

Gremio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.52% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Bolivar 63.76% (+0.18)
Draw 19.52% (-0.13)
Gremio 16.65% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.64% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44%
Under 1.5 18.56%
Over 2.5 59.94% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.06% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 38.71% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 61.29% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 25.97% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 74.03% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Bolivar 51.63% (-0.04)
Draw 34.34% (-0.06)
Gremio 14.03% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Bolivar 68.85% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.64% (-0.05)
Gremio 26.51% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.54% (-0.97)
Equal 8 10.76% (-0.13)
Under 8 30.7% (+1.08)
Over 9 47.52% (-0.76)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.22)
Under 9 41.46% (+0.97)
Over 10.5 37.1% (-0.50)
Under 10.5 62.9% (+0.50)

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 61.66% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 38.34% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 36.42% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 63.58% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 18.35% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 81.65% (-0.18)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 50.5% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 49.5% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 21.28% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 78.72% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 6.72% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.28% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Score analysis

Bolivar 63.77%
Draw 19.53%
Gremio 16.66%
Bolivar
2-0 @ 9.98% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.19% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 18.19% (+0.18)
Total : 63.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.53%
Gremio
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.66%