Copa Sudamericana
Jul 23, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions

Gremio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolivar win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw has a probability of 19.65% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (4.45%).

Result

Bolivar 63.58% (-0.07)
Draw 19.65% (+0.03)
Gremio 16.8% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.56% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.88% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 40.12% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 38.56% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 61.44% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.79% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.21% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Bolivar 51.67% (-0.04)
Draw 34.4% (+0.01)
Gremio 13.93% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Bolivar 68.82%
No Goal 4.68% (-0.02)
Gremio 26.5% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.5% (+0.22)
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 29.62% (-0.20)
Over 9 48.28% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.23% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.5% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 37.6% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 62.4% (-0.17)

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 61.48% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.52% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.21% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.79% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.17% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 81.83% (-0.08)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 50.74% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 49.26% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.77% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 93.23% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bolivar 63.59%
Draw 19.65%
Gremio 16.8%
Bolivar
2-0 @ 9.97% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.58% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.13)
Other @ 18.01% (+0.09)
Total : 63.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26%
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.65%
Gremio
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-2 @ 4.37%
0-2 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.68% (+0.04)
Total : 16.8%