Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 28, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Bolivar vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bolivar

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 2 - 4 Independiente Rivadavia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolivar win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw has a probability of 22.05% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia has a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it is 0-1 (5.35%).

Result

Bolivar 57.68% (+0.04)
Draw 22.05% (-0.01)
Independiente Rivadavia 20.31% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.08% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 55.83% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.17% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 35.38% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.62% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 22.67% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bolivar 47.44% (-0.11)
Draw 37.73% (+0.19)
Independiente Rivadavia 14.82% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Bolivar 66.21% (+0.13)
No Goal 5.51%
Independiente Rivadavia 28.28% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 56.53% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 32.57% (-0.03)
Over 9 45.53% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 43.47% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.27% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 64.73% (-0.02)

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 55.55% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 44.45% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 30.09% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 69.91% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 14.35% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 85.65% (+0.06)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 54.6% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.4% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.7% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolivar 57.68%
Draw 22.05%
Independiente Rivadavia 20.3%
Bolivar
1-0 @ 10.25% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.67% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 14.19% (-0.06)
Total : 57.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.05%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.14% (+0.02)
Total : 20.3%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Carlos Lampe 1' goal
  • Tomás Bottari 67' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Atencio 74' yellowcard
  • Bautista Dadín 90' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pato Rodríguez 61'
  • yellowcard Carlos Melgar 61'
  • yellowcard Ervin Vaca 74'
  • yellowcard Erwin Saavedra 85'