Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-2 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.