Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jun 1, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Christian

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw has a probability of 25.07% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.51%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (6.71%).

Result

Cruzeiro 53.38% (+2.25)
Draw 25.07% (-0.54)
Fluminense 21.55% (-1.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.12% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 26.88% (-0.73)
Over 2.5 48.23% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 51.77% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 24.92% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 75.05% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 13.68% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 86.32% (-0.48)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 40.18% (+0.97)
Draw 43.11% (+0.21)
Fluminense 16.71% (-1.17)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 62.51% (+3.41)
No Goal 7.34% (-0.32)
Fluminense 30.15% (-3.11)

Corners

Over 8 53.03% (-1.11)
Equal 8 11.85% (-0.06)
Under 8 35.12% (+1.16)
Over 9 41.4% (-0.97)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.14)
Under 9 46.97% (+1.11)
Over 10.5 30.92% (-0.77)
Under 10.5 69.08% (+0.77)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 47.59% (+1.92)
Under 1.5 52.41% (-1.92)
Over 2.5 21.1% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 78.9% (-1.52)
Over 3.5 7.68% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 92.32% (-0.89)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 57.02% (-1.74)
Under 0.5 42.98% (+1.74)
Over 1.5 22.89% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 77.11% (+1.10)
Over 2.5 6.82% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 93.18% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 1.54% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 98.46% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 53.37%
Draw 25.08%
Fluminense 21.54%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.82% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 10.51% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.88% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 5.36% (+0.59)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.57% (+0.88)
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 25.08%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.68)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.38)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.43% (-0.21)
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 4, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Victor Hugo Ramos de Souza 25' yellowcard
  • Victor Hugo Ramos de Souza 25' yellowcard
  • Keno 43' yellowcard
  • Keno 43' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 54' goal
  • Jhon Arias 54' goal
  • Jhon Arias 62' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 62' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 65' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 65' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 80' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 80' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Fuentes 89' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Fuentes 89' yellowcard
  • Manoel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Thiago 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Manoel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Thiago 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Walace 66'
  • yellowcard Walace 66'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 81'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 26' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 26' yellowcard
  • William 41' goal
  • William 41' goal
  • Robert 49' yellowcard
  • Robert 49' yellowcard
  • Machado 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Machado 45'+5' yellowcard
  • William 90'+3' goal
  • William 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Barbosa 34'
  • yellowcard Diogo Barbosa 34'
  • yellowcard Thiago 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 80'
  • yellowcard Thiago 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Nino 34' yellowcard
  • Nino 34' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 39' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 39' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 67' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 67' goal
  • Keno 82' yellowcard
  • Keno 82' yellowcard
  • Andre 85' yellowcard
  • Fabio 88' yellowcard
  • Fabio 88' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 90' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley 30'
  • yellowcard Wesley 30'
  • yellowcard Stenio Zanetti Toledo 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • goal Ganso 43'
  • goal German Cano 54'