Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.5%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.