Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.