Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 20, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 1 - 0 Boca Juniors

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Catolica 0 - 0 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 30.05% and a draw has a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result

Boca Juniors 42.01% (+0.50)
Draw 27.91% (+0.34)
Cruzeiro 30.05% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (-0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.53% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 32.47% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 41.54% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 58.46% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 20.3% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 79.7% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 10.53% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 89.47% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 32.36% (+0.85)
Draw 47.34% (-0.07)
Cruzeiro 20.3% (-0.77)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 53.16% (+0.82)
No Goal 10.16% (+0.41)
Cruzeiro 36.68% (-1.22)

Corners

Over 8 51.28% (+0.93)
Equal 8 11.71% (-0.02)
Under 8 37.01% (-0.92)
Over 9 39.95% (+0.88)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.06)
Under 9 48.72% (-0.93)
Over 10.5 29.84% (+0.77)
Under 10.5 70.16% (-0.77)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 36.12% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.88% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 13.73% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 86.27% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 4.45% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.55% (-0.14)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 61.45% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 38.55% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 26.6% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 73.4% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 8.72% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 91.28% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 2.11% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.89% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 42.03%
Draw 27.9%
Cruzeiro 30.05%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.35% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.42% (+0.12)
Total : 42.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.16% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 27.9%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 9.94% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.08% (-0.23)
Total : 30.05%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Kauã Moraes 46' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 75' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 83' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Figal 62'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Zeballos 62'
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 23, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 9' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 9' goal
  • Walace 21' goal
  • Walace 21' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 48' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 48' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Luis Advincula 1'
  • redcard Luis Advincula 1'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 43'
  • goal Milton Gimenez 45'+3'
  • goal Milton Gimenez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Zenon 54'
  • yellowcard Kevin Zenon 54'
  • yellowcard Diego Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Diego Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 82'
  • yellowcard Milton Gimenez 82'
  • yellowcard Milton Gimenez 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 90'+5'
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Guillermo Fernandez 23' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 23' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 65' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 65' goal
  • Exequiel Zeballos 90' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 23'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 23'
  • yellowcard Walace 30'
  • yellowcard Walace 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 41'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 41'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Diaz 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Diaz 43'
  • yellowcard Arthur 52'
  • yellowcard Arthur 52'
Oct 5, 2018 1.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Egidio 36' yellowcard
  • Dede 51' yellowcard
  • Sassa 58' goal
  • Rafael 78' yellowcard
  • Dede 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Perez 22'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 78'
  • goal Cristian Pavon 94'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 96'
Sep 20, 2018 1.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mauro Zarate 36' goal
  • Lucas Olaza 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Perez 82' goal
  • Nahitan Nandez 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Dede 75'
  • yellowcard Edilson Mendes 92'