Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (10.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.