Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.09% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.45%).