Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 22, 2026 1.30am
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Catolica 0 - 0 Cruzeiro

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 1 - 0 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Barcelona SC has a probability of 30.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win is 0-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Universidad Catolica 45.01% (-0.02)
Draw 24.83%
Barcelona SC 30.13% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.35% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.65% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.09% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.91% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.31% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.69% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.47% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.53% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Universidad Catolica 38.25% (+0.10)
Draw 41.72% (-0.04)
Barcelona SC 20.02% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Universidad Catolica 57.22% (+0.09)
No Goal 7.08% (+0.03)
Barcelona SC 35.7% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.68% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.77% (-0.08)
Under 8 32.54% (+0.15)
Over 9 43.88% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.09)
Under 9 44.32% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.03% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.97% (-0.05)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 1.5 42.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.68% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.68% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.32% (+0.03)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5 63.63% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.37% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.47% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.17% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.31%
Under 3.5 96.69%

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 45.02%
Draw 24.84%
Barcelona SC 30.13%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 10.63% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 6.67% (-0.04)
Total : 45.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.84%
Barcelona SC
0-1 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Jefferson Wila 46' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Intriago 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Martínez 46' yellowcard
  • Ronald Perlaza 65' yellowcard
  • Miguel Parrales 75' yellowcard
  • Milton Céliz 79' goal
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 17'
  • goal Clemente Montes 22'
  • yellowcard Agustín Farías 66'
  • yellowcard Martín Alejandro Gómez 67'
  • yellowcard Alfred Canales 77'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel González 90'+4'