Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.