Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 26, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Chapecoense 0 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Pedro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw has a probability of 22.14% and a win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it is 0-1 (5.28%).

Result

Flamengo 62.98% (-0.05)
Draw 22.14%
Sao Paulo 14.88% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.36% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.18% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 25.82% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.81% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.42% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.58% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.89% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.11% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 46.67% (+0.10)
Draw 37.78% (-0.08)
Sao Paulo 15.55% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 65.94% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.18% (-0.02)
Sao Paulo 26.88% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.47% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.61% (+0.11)
Over 9 49.11% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.36% (-0.03)
Under 9 39.53% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 38.25% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 61.75% (+0.07)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 55.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 44.78% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 27.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.23% (+0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 48.63% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 51.37% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 16.81% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 83.19% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.27% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.88% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Flamengo 62.98%
Draw 22.15%
Sao Paulo 14.88%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 13.37% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.91% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.48%
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.7% (-0.04)
Total : 62.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 22.15%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.81% (+0.02)
Total : 14.88%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Jan 29, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 61' goal
  • Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo 71' goal
  • Danielzinho 71' goal
  • Cedric Soares 80' yellowcard
  • Cédric Soares 80' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 86' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 56'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 56'
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 56'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 62'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 62'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 63'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 63'
Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 12, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 18, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'