Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.84% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.36%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.