Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.