Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.27% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.92%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.