Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 9, 2026 10.30pm
Parque Luis Méndez Piana

Central Español vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
Boston River 2 - 1 Central Español

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw has a probability of 27.03% and a win for Central Español has a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Central Español win it is 1-0 (8.27%).

Result

Central Español 22.56%
Draw 27.03% (-0.01)
Racing de Montevideo 50.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.54% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.46% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.4%
Under 2.5 56.6%
Over 3.5 22.12%
Under 3.5 77.88%
Over 4.5 11.41% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.59% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Central Español 19.79% (+0.02)
Draw 47.96%
Racing de Montevideo 32.26% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Central Español 33.68% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.88%
Racing de Montevideo 56.44% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.68% (+0.37)
Equal 8 12.35% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.97% (-0.36)
Over 9 38.81% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.32% (-0.37)
Over 10.5 28.36% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 71.64% (-0.33)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 21.29% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.13% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.16%
Under 3.5 98.84%

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 76.09% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.91% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.05% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.25%
Under 3.5 93.75%

Score analysis

Central Español 22.57%
Draw 27.05%
Racing de Montevideo 50.41%
Central Español
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 22.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.05%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 13.34%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.24%
Total : 50.41%