Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.03% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Central Español win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.