Uruguayan Primera Division
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Máximo Alonso 31' goal
  • Sander Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Raúl Tarragona 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Gandulfo 68' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 75' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Rodríguez 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cristóforo 47'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rijo 60'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lima 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 60'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Carlos 69'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 69'

Central Español vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.00am
Albion 6 - 1 Central Español

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
Cerro 1 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.33% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.79%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 41.78% (-0.04)
Draw 30.33% (+0.04)
Cerro 27.89% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.03% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 60.97% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.15% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.09% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.91% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Central Español 30.41% (-0.04)
Draw 48.36% (-0.01)
Cerro 21.24% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Central Español 50.96% (+0.07)
No Goal 11.24% (+0.01)
Cerro 37.8% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.41%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 35.23%
Over 9 40.33%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 47.59%
Over 10.5 29.54%
Under 10.5 70.46%

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 34.83% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.17% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.72% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.47%
Under 3.5 96.53%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 60.94% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.06% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.91%
Under 3.5 98.09%

Score analysis

Central Español 41.77%
Draw 30.33%
Cerro 27.9%
Central Español
1-0 @ 13.5% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 30.33%
Cerro
0-1 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 27.9%