Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.33% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.79%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.