Uruguayan Primera Division
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque José Nasazzi
  • Facundo Muñoa 12' goal
  • Facundo Muñoa 51' goal
  • Alexander González 65' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyna 65' yellowcard
  • Gastón Ramírez 75' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Pino 56'
  • yellowcard Diego Vera 56'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco 66'
  • goal Lucas Pino 68'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cantera 74'

Boston River vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 11.30pm
Torque 4 - 1 Boston River

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 3 - 1 Cerro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Central Español win was 0-1 (11.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Boston River 38.97% (+0.45)
Draw 28.21%
Central Español 32.82% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.55% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.21% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.79% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 38.95% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 61.05% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.67%
Under 3.5 81.33%
Over 4.5 9.27%
Under 4.5 90.73%

First Half Winner

Boston River 27.6%
Draw 47.57%
Central Español 24.83%

Team To Score First

Boston River 48.1% (-0.01)
No Goal 10.7% (+0.01)
Central Español 41.2%

Corners

Over 8 48.34%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 39.66%
Over 9 37%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 51.66%
Over 10.5 27.13%
Under 10.5 72.87%

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 31.76% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 68.24% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 11.06% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.94% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.22% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.78% (-0.07)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 63.25% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 36.75% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 27.73% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 72.27% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 8.7% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 91.3% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.29% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.71% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Boston River 38.97%
Draw 28.21%
Central Español 32.81%
Boston River
1-0 @ 12.98% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.1% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.16% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.69% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.07)
Total : 38.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.21%
Central Español
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.28% (-0.08)
Total : 32.81%