Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 11, 2026 9.00pm
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Maldonado

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
Boston River 2 - 1 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw has a probability of 27.65% and a win for Boston River has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.72%) , while for a Boston River win it is 0-1 (8.22%).

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 47.7% (-0.75)
Draw 27.65% (+0.10)
Boston River 24.7% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.75% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 31.25% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 43.11% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.89% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.55% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.45% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.86% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.14% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 34.68%
Draw 46.31%
Boston River 19%

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 52.98% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.6% (-0.04)
Boston River 37.42% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.47%
Equal 8 12.51%
Under 8 35.02%
Over 9 40.23%
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 47.53%
Over 10.5 29.31%
Under 10.5 70.69%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 41.41% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 58.59% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 16.52% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 83.48% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 5.74% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 94.26% (+0.16)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 58.39% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 41.61% (-0.72)
Over 1.5 23.58% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 76.42% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 7.91% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 92.09% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 47.7%
Draw 27.65%
Boston River 24.71%
Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 13.49% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.52% (-0.16)
Total : 47.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 27.65%
Boston River
0-1 @ 8.22% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.89% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.08)
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Juan Rodriguez 64' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 67' goal
  • Leonard Costa 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 23'
  • yellowcard Briam Acosta 28'
  • yellowcard Marcos Montiel 70'
  • yellowcard Hernan Toledo 83'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Hernan Menosse 60' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 61' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 64' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 79' yellowcard
  • Gian Franco Trasante Medina 84' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Franco Trasante Medina 84' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Trasante 84' yellowcard
  • Mauro Agustin Alfonso Madruga 86' goal
  • Mauro Alfonso 86' goal
  • redcard Leonard Costa 34'
  • redcard Leonard Costa 36'
  • goal Juan Ramos 52'
  • goal Juan Ramos 52'
  • yellowcard Gian Franco Allala 80'
  • yellowcard Santiago Silva 84'
  • yellowcard Santiago Silva 84'
  • goal Emiliano Gomez 88'
  • goal Emiliano Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Gomez 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Guzman Rodriguez 38' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 56' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Gomez 62' goal
  • Matias Zunino 89' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Spinelli 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 56'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Robert Herrera 27' goal
  • Enzo Borges 53' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 83' goal
  • goal Mathias Acuna 49'
  • goal Marco Mancebo 64'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Eduardo Darias 30' goal
  • Marcos Camarda 83' goal
  • goal Emiliano Gomez 55'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 24, 2022 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Bernardo Rubinger de Queiroz
  • Alexander Machado 22' goal
  • Maximiliano Villa 49' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 57' yellowcard
  • Jose Alberti 73' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Lopez 75' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Lopez 75' redcard
  • Martin Fernandez 80' goal
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 29'
  • yellowcard Enzo Borges 66'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 89'