Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.83% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.