Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 3 - 1 Cerro

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Maldonado 1 - 2 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw has a probability of 30.92% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.84%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (9.89%).

Result

Cerro 22.18%
Draw 30.92%
Deportivo Maldonado 46.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.93%
Under 1.5 39.07%
Over 2.5 33.53%
Under 2.5 66.47%
Over 3.5 15.14%
Under 3.5 84.86%
Over 4.5 7%
Under 4.5 93%

First Half Winner

Cerro 17.72%
Draw 49.45%
Deportivo Maldonado 32.83%

Team To Score First

Cerro 32.01%
No Goal 13.63%
Deportivo Maldonado 54.36%

Corners

Over 8 40.31%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 47.73%
Over 9 29.69%
Equal 9 10.62%
Under 9 59.69%
Over 10.5 21%
Under 10.5 79%

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 17.21%
Under 1.5 82.79%
Over 2.5 3.73%
Under 2.5 96.27%
Over 3.5 0.74%
Under 3.5 99.26%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 71.24%
Under 0.5 28.76%
Over 1.5 35.54%
Under 1.5 64.46%
Over 2.5 13.2%
Under 2.5 86.8%
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Score analysis

Cerro 22.18%
Draw 30.93%
Deportivo Maldonado 46.91%
Cerro
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 5.06%
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.84%
0-0 @ 13.63%
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.93%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 15.57%
0-2 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-3 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 46.91%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 82' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 42'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gonzalez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gonzalez 95'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 5, 2024 9.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Santiago Ramirez 34' goal
  • Marco Ruben 38' goal
  • Nicolas Fuica 44' yellowcard
  • Renato Cesar 47' yellowcard
  • Renato Cesar 53' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 71' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joshuan Berrios 45'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Tomas Fernandez 18' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 18' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 63' yellowcard
  • Jairo Coronel 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 66' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 85' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 85' yellowcard
  • Danilo Lerda 86' yellowcard
  • Danilo Lerda 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 31'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 33'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lacoste 59'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lacoste 59'
  • yellowcard Jairo Coronel 63'
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 64'
  • goal Fernando Souza 80'
  • goal Fernando Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 89'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 89'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 90'+8'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 17, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Eduardo Darias 78' goal
  • goal Cristhian Tizon 1'
  • goal Luca Franco 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 9.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Maicol Cabrera 61' goal
  • Franco Lopez 71' goal
  • Maicol Cabrera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 17'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Nicolini 23'
  • goal Facundo Batista 34'
  • goal Facundo Batista 45'
  • goal Facundo Batista 85'