Uruguayan Primera Division
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Mateo Argüello 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Morales 70' yellowcard
  • Gianni Rodríguez 76' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Sosa 76' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Cristóforo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquín Fernández 69'
  • goal Nicolás Fuica 76'
  • yellowcard Sebastián González 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Núñez 82'
  • yellowcard Adrian Vila 82'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Mozzone 90'

Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 3 - 1 Cerro

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Maldonado 1 - 2 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 30.98% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.84%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 22.2% (-0.02)
Draw 30.98% (+0.02)
Deportivo Maldonado 46.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.03% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 39.22% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 33.46% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 66.54% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.06%
Under 3.5 84.94%
Over 4.5 6.94% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.06% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Cerro 17.67% (+0.02)
Draw 49.58%
Deportivo Maldonado 32.75% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Cerro 32.05% (-0.05)
No Goal 13.7% (+0.01)
Deportivo Maldonado 54.25% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 40.64%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 47.34%
Over 9 29.95%
Equal 9 10.69%
Under 9 59.36%
Over 10.5 21.18% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 78.82% (-0.02)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 17.16%
Under 1.5 82.84%
Over 2.5 3.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.73%
Under 3.5 99.27%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 71.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.87% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.41% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.59% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cerro 22.2%
Draw 30.99%
Deportivo Maldonado 46.82%
Cerro
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 5.07%
2-0 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.84%
0-0 @ 13.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.99%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 15.59% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.71% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-3 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.76% (+0.01)
Total : 46.82%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 82' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 42'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gonzalez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gonzalez 95'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 5, 2024 9.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Santiago Ramirez 34' goal
  • Marco Ruben 38' goal
  • Nicolas Fuica 44' yellowcard
  • Renato Cesar 47' yellowcard
  • Renato Cesar 53' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 71' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joshuan Berrios 45'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Tomas Fernandez 18' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 18' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • Tomas Fernandez 63' yellowcard
  • Jairo Coronel 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Nunez 66' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 85' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 85' yellowcard
  • Danilo Lerda 86' yellowcard
  • Danilo Lerda 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 31'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 33'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lacoste 59'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lacoste 59'
  • yellowcard Jairo Coronel 63'
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 64'
  • goal Fernando Souza 80'
  • goal Fernando Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 89'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 89'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 90'+8'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 17, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Eduardo Darias 78' goal
  • goal Cristhian Tizon 1'
  • goal Luca Franco 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 9.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Maicol Cabrera 61' goal
  • Franco Lopez 71' goal
  • Maicol Cabrera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 17'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Nicolini 23'
  • goal Facundo Batista 34'
  • goal Facundo Batista 45'
  • goal Facundo Batista 85'