Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a O'Higgins win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a O'Higgins win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.