Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jun 1, 2026 12.30am
Remo 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Luciano

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
May 30, 2026 8.00pm
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (6.79%).

Result

Sao Paulo 56.51% (+0.04)
Draw 25.6% (-0.03)
Athletico Paranaense 17.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.43% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 30.57% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.41% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 56.59% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 22.2% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.8% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 41.71%
Draw 41.63%
Athletico Paranaense 16.66%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 60.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.99% (-0.04)
Athletico Paranaense 30.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.33%
Equal 8 10.68%
Under 8 28.99%
Over 9 49.23%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 39.67%
Over 10.5 38.6%
Under 10.5 61.4%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 47.44% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 52.56% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 21.03% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.97% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.43% (-0.03)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 51.29% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 4.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.04%
Under 3.5 98.96%

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 56.51%
Draw 25.59%
Athletico Paranaense 17.89%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 14.78% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 7.43% (+0.03)
Total : 56.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 6, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET
Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 10, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luis Zubeldia 4' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 4' yellowcard
  • Luciano 52' goal
  • Luciano 52' goal
  • Lucas Moura 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 75' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 89' goal
  • Andre Silva 89' goal
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 3'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 3'
  • yellowcard Erick 43'
  • yellowcard Erick 43'
  • yellowcard Antonio Felipe 62'
  • yellowcard Antonio Felipe 62'
  • goal Julimar 69'
  • goal Julimar 69'
  • yellowcard Julimar 81'
  • yellowcard Julimar 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Fernandinho 38' goal
  • Fernandinho 38' goal
  • Leo Linck 76' redcard
  • Leo Linck 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Luis Zubeldia 14'
  • yellowcard Luis Zubeldia 14'
  • goal Ferreira 33'
  • goal Ferreira 33'
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 60'
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 60'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 66'
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 75'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 86'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 87'
  • redcard Luis Zubeldia 87'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 87'
  • redcard Luis Zubeldia 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 29, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Pablo 7' goal
  • Hugo Moura 57' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Maia 10'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maia 17'
  • yellowcard Erison 24'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano 68'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Gabriel Neves 19' goal
  • Luciano 47' goal
  • goal Vitor Roque 11'