Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.29% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.