Copa Sudamericana
Jul 30, 2026 11.00pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 11.00pm
Bolivar 3 - 2 Gremio

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 11.00pm
Bolivar 3 - 2 Gremio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Bolivar has a probability of 27.28% and a draw has a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Bolivar win is 1-2 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Gremio 49.87% (-0.73)
Draw 22.89% (+0.07)
Bolivar 27.28% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.9% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 23.1% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 53.72%
Under 2.5 46.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.7% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.3% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 18.27% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.73% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gremio 33.14% (-0.11)
Draw 40% (-0.54)
Bolivar 26.85% (+0.64)

Team To Score First

Gremio 50.46% (-0.58)
No Goal 6.19% (-0.02)
Bolivar 43.35% (+0.61)

Corners

Over 8 59.21% (-0.51)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.39% (+0.52)
Over 9 47.46% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.07)
Under 9 40.79% (+0.51)
Over 10.5 36.38% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 63.62% (+0.36)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 47.57% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 52.43% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 22.71% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 77.29% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 8.66% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 91.34% (+0.38)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 60.92% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 39.08% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 29.58% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 11.31% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 88.69% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 3.65% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 96.35% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Gremio 49.86%
Draw 22.89%
Bolivar 27.28%
Gremio
1-0 @ 10.41% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.09)
Other @ 8.57% (-0.36)
Total : 49.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 22.89%
Bolivar
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.79% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.56% (+0.27)
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jul 23, 2026 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Martín Cauteruccio 2' goal
  • Robson Matheus 18' goal
  • Dairon Asprilla 58' goal
  • goal Mathías Villasanti  16'
  • goal Tetê 23'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 54'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 72'