Copa do Brasil
Aug 2, 2026 10.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions

Gremio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw has a probability of 25.21% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.53%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (6.7%).

Result

Mirassol 54.71% (+1.40)
Draw 25.21% (-0.35)
Gremio 20.03% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.08% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.29% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 28.71% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 46.53% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 53.47% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 23.7% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.3% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.26% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 86.74% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 39.59% (+1.48)
Draw 42.55% (-1.25)
Gremio 17.86% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 59.98% (-0.71)
No Goal 8.37% (+0.11)
Gremio 31.65% (+0.59)

Corners

Over 8 58.07% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.36% (-0.09)
Under 8 30.57% (+0.09)
Over 9 46.48% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.09)
Under 9 41.93% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 35.6% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 64.4% (-0.15)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 47.15% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 52.85% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 21.31% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 78.69% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 7.57% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 92.43% (-0.55)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 54.87% (-1.31)
Under 0.5 45.13% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 20.71% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 79.29% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 5.69% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 94.31% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 1.26% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 98.74% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Mirassol 54.72%
Draw 25.22%
Gremio 20.04%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 13.62% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 10.53% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 9.87% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.56% (+0.56)
Total : 54.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 8.37% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 25.22%
Gremio
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.25% (-0.18)
Total : 20.04%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 18, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Bruno Santos 16' goal
  • Denilson 38' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca 40' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  41'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 65'
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 77'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 79'
Brasileiro
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Daniel Borges 3' goal
  • Reinaldo 21' goal
  • Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino 64' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 78' goal
  • Daniel Borges 85' goal
  • Daniel Borges 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 15'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 18'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 60'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 67'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 82'