Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Ceara win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.