Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 38.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Hoang Anh Gia Lai	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
38.21%	23.11%	38.67%

Both teams to score 64.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.62%

36.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.48%

58.51%

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48%

19.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59%

51.41%

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93%

51.07%

Score Analysis

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38.22%

Yokohama F Marinos 38.67%

Draw 23.1%

Hoang Anh Gia Lai	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.33% Total : 38.22%	1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.4% Total : 38.67%