Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.64% | 23.16% | 32.2% |
Both teams to score 63.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.06% | 37.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.8% | 60.2% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% | 17.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.13% | 47.87% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% | 23.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% | 57.3% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.04% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-1 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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