Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 46.75% | 22.92% | 30.33% |
| Both teams to score 63.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% | 37.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% | 59.92% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% | 16.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% | 46.25% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% | 24.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% | 58.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.44% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.02% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-1 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.33% |