Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.