Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.